Haihua LvThis email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

College of Information, Shenyang Institute of Engineering, Shenyang 110136, Liaoning, China


 

Received: April 22, 2025
Accepted: August 10, 2025
Publication Date: October 19, 2025

 Copyright The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are cited.


Download Citation: ||https://doi.org/10.6180/jase.202606_29(6).0001  


Precise Wind Power Forecasting (WPF) is essential for ensuring grid stability and improving the integration of Renewable Energy Sources (RESs). This research introduces an innovative hybrid forecasting model that integrates an enhanced Akima-based Empirical Mode Decomposition (Akima-EMD) with Deep Learning (DL) frameworks, specifically Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Units (BiGRU). The enhanced Akima-EMD method reduces false oscillations and mode mixing in signal decomposition, while a soft-thresholding approach effectively denoises the input data. The model uses Non Parametric Kernel Density Estimation (NPKDE) to measure uncertainty, while feature selection is conducted using Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) with greatest relevance and least redundancy. Simulation results show that the proposed model enhances forecasting accuracy, reducing Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) by 18.7% and elevating the correlation coefficient to 0.92 . In the Smart Grid (SG) Energy Management (EM) scenario, Wind Turbines (WTs) supplied 24.96% of energy demand, while Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESSs) and Electric Vehicles (EVs) provided 7.46% and 3.39% respectively, therefore reducing the reliance on the primary grid and diesel generators. This comprehensive framework enhances forecasting accuracy and energy dispatch adaptability, providing a robust solution for advanced SG applications.


Keywords: Empirical Mode Decomposition, Energy Management, Improved Akima, Grid Stability, Long Short-Term Memory, Wind Power Forecast.


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